Bayesian informative priors with Yang and Land’s hierarchical age–period–cohort model
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Exploiting Informative Priors for Bayesian Classification and Regression Trees
A general method for defining informative priors on statistical models is presented and applied specifically to the space of classification and regression trees. A Bayesian approach to learning such models from data is taken, with the MetropolisHastings algorithm being used to approximately sample from the posterior. By only using proposal distributions closely tied to the prior, acceptance pro...
متن کاملA Bayesian model averaging approach with non-informative priors for cost-effectiveness analyses.
We consider the problem of assessing new and existing technologies for their cost-effectiveness in the case where data on both costs and effects are available from a clinical trial, and we address it by means of the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve. The main difficulty in these analyses is that cost data usually exhibit highly skew and heavy-tailed distributions, so that it can be extreme...
متن کاملBayesian Analysis for the Paired Comparison Model with Order Effects (Using Non-informative Priors)
Sometimes it may be difficult for a panelist to rank or compare more than two objects or treatments at the same time. For this reason, paired comparison method is used. In this study, the Davidson and Beaver (1977) model for paired comparisons with order effects is analyzed through the Bayesian Approach. For this purpose, the posterior means and the posterior modes are compared using the noninf...
متن کاملForecasting Long-Term Crude Oil Prices Using a Bayesian Model with Informative Priors
In the long-term, crude oil prices may impact the economic stability and sustainability of many countries, especially those depending on oil imports. This study thus suggests an alternative model for accurately forecasting oil prices while reflecting structural changes in the oil market by using a Bayesian approach. The prior information is derived from the recent and expected structure of the ...
متن کاملBayesian generalized linear mixed modeling of Tuberculosis using informative priors
TB is rated as one of the world's deadliest diseases and South Africa ranks 9th out of the 22 countries with hardest hit of TB. Although many pieces of research have been carried out on this subject, this paper steps further by inculcating past knowledge into the model, using Bayesian approach with informative prior. Bayesian statistics approach is getting popular in data analyses. But, most ap...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Quality & Quantity
سال: 2013
ISSN: 0033-5177,1573-7845
DOI: 10.1007/s11135-013-9985-3